Munich – DFB-Elf’s opening loss to Japan brings back bad memories of the World Cup four years ago in Russia.
At that time, the DFB team also lost their first match in their group against outsiders. Mexico led 1-0.
in 2018 The end of the World Cup is well known to Germany. After a win against Sweden and a loss against South Korea, this was the last stop for the German team after the preliminary round for the first time at the World Cup.
Hansi Flick’s team faces a similar disaster this year as well. Yes, the chances of him not making it to the round of 16 are even slightly higher.
in 2022 World Cup: Germany to play Spain
As Spain await on Sunday in their second group match (Sunday from 20:00 ran live) one of the biggest favorites for the world champion title. The Iberians showed this with a 7-0 win over Costa Rica.
Nevertheless, after bankruptcy against Japan, anything is still possible, at least in theory. (Group E matches and standings)
ran explains what needs to happen on Sunday for the DFB team to continue to hope for the round of 16, in which case it would no longer stand a chance.
World Cup Group E: Where are Germany at the moment?
After the first day of matches, Germany is third in Group E with 1-2 goals and 0 points, behind Spain and Japan with 3 points. This ranking is not enough for promotion, as only the top two teams in each group qualify for the round of 16.
in 2022 World Cup: When will the DFB team play on Sunday?
Although the German team does not play Spain until 20:00, Japan already scores a goal (At 11 a.m., the live ticker ran) in Costa Rica.
Good for the Germans: at least they know exactly what result they need against Spain tonight to stay in the round of 16.
in 2022 world championship: table rules
Whether the head-to-head head-to-head or goal difference is ranked higher when several teams are tied is crucial to the question of progress.
Unlike the European Championships, where head-to-head comparisons matter, World Cup tournaments ultimately come down to goal difference. In concrete terms, this means that if, for example, Japan has a 3-point advantage over Germany before the last day of matches, the DFB team still has a chance to catch up with the Japanese at the end due to the better goal difference.
According to the European Championship regulations, this would no longer be possible, because in the event of a tie, the Japanese victory over Germany would be decisive.
Germany can still hope for the round of 16…
… victory over Spain.
In that case, even a group victory would be possible.
… in a draw with Spain.
In that case, Japan could be uncaught by Germany with their previous win over Costa Rica. However, the Spaniards would only be 3 points better than the DFB team. With the Spaniards winning their game against Costa Rica by a mile, the hope for Germany would only be theoretical. Because against Costa Rica, they would have to win on the last day of the game, and at the same time they would need a clear victory for the Japanese against Spain.
However, if Japan were previously held to a draw against Costa Rica, things could get very ugly for the Germans. They would then be 3 points behind both Spain and Japan going into the final match day. Horror scenario: Spain and Japan eventually “settle” for a draw and have 5 points each. The DFB team could then score as many goals as they wanted. Only 3rd place would be left, and thus the end. All gray theory, of course. But Germany may indeed catch up to Gijon’s embarrassment, 40 years after the indescribable kick against Austria in 1982. World Cup in Spain.
… in the loss against Spain, after Japan had also previously lost to Costa Rica.
In that case, Spain would be elusive. On the other hand, Japan and Costa Rica could still be caught by just 3 points. In other words, a win against Costa Rica in the last game and a win for Spain against Japan at the same time would mean that Germany, Japan and Costa Rica each have 3 points, with the team with the best goal difference over Spain advancing to the stage. out of 16.
Germany were eliminated early on Sunday…
… if they lose to Spain, if Japan doesn’t lose to Costa Rica beforehand.
Spain would be six points behind after two games…